Three weeks after the last update, the government is expected to announce its next review of the “traffic light” travel system today, 14 July.
The Department for Transport (DfT) will decide which countries are “safe” enough from the risk of arrivals reimporting coronavirus infections to join its hallowed green list, from where travellers need not quarantine when entering the UK.
The 27-strong list currently offers limited choice for prospective holidaymakers, with the Balearic Islands (Mallorca, Menorca, Ibiza and Formentera), Gibraltar, Iceland, Malta and Madeira the only viable destinations for Britons.
But when is the announcement and will we know what the latest changes to the green, amber and red lists are? Here’s what we know so far.
Which countries are currently on the green list?
There are 27 places on the green list currently: Anguilla, Antarctica, Antigua and Barbuda, Australia, Balearic Islands, Barbados, Bermuda, British Indian Ocean Territory, British Virgin Islands, Brunei, Cayman Islands, Dominica, Falkland Islands, Faroe Islands, Gibraltar, Grenada, Iceland, Israel and Jerusalem, Madeira, Malta, Montserrat, New Zealand, Pitcairn, Henderson, Ducie and Oeno Islands, Singapore, South Georgia and South Sandwich Islands, St Helena, Ascension and Tristan da Cunha and Turks and Caicos Islands.
Which countries could go green?
As ever, predictions come heavily caveated with the fact they are just that: predictions. As was evident at the last review, even analysing the available data isn’t enough to guess with any certainty what might make the cut.
Of the major European travel destinations, France is the most likely contender to move to the green list, with a case rate of 41.33 and nearly 45 per cent of the population having received two jabs.
Other countries that could make the cut based on the figures alone include Italy, with 14 cases per 100,000 and a double-jab rate of 44 per cent, Germany, with just six cases per 100,000 and a double-jab rate of nearly 50 per cent and Bulgaria, with six cases per 100,000 and a double-jab rate of 14 per cent.
Rising infection rates across the Balearic Islands and Malta could see both countries removed from the green list, however.
What time will the lists be announced?
The green list announcement is expected to come on the afternoon of 14 July.
How can I find out the latest updates?
The Independent’s travel team will be live blogging all updates as soon as they’re revealed throughout the day. Check out our rolling news coverage here for all the latest additions to the traffic light lists.