New inflation rate rise could see delays to Bank of England interest cuts for borrowers

A photo illustration of a lit / burning gas hob ring inside a kitchen in Brighton.  The cost of gas and electric bills continues to rise upwards.
-Credit: (Image: Reach Publishing Services Limited)


UK inflation has risen to its highest level since April driven by an increase in household energy bills, according to official figures. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rose to 2.3 per cent for October, from 1.7 per cent in the previous month and is the sharpest month-on-month increase in the rate of inflation for two years.

The significant rebound, which could increase pressure on the Bank of England to delay cuts to interest rates, comes after CPI inflation had dropped to a three-year-low in September. The ONS said an increase in household energy costs particularly contributed to the latest rise in inflation.

In October, average household energy bills increased by £149 a year after regulator Ofgem raised the cap from £1,568 for a typical dual fuel household in Scotland, England and Wales to £1,717 - a rise of 10 pe cent.

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ONS chief economist Grant Fitzner said: “Inflation rose this month as the increase in the energy price cap meant higher costs for gas and electricity compared with a fall at the same time last year. These were partially offset by falls in recreation and culture, including live music and theatre ticket price. The cost of raw materials for businesses continued to fall, once again driven by lower crude oil prices.”

UK inflation has now returned back above the 2 per cent target rate set by the Bank of England and the UK Government. This could put some pressure on hopes that policymakers at the central bank will continue to cut interest rates, after reducing the base rate to 4.75 per cent earlier this month.

High interest rates have been used by the Bank of England to put pressure on spending demand from consumers and businesses and help bring down inflation, after it soared as high as 11.1 per cent two years ago.

Monica George Michail, associate economist at NIESR (National Institute of Economic and Social Research) said: “We forecast annual headline inflation to rise further towards the end of the year as base effects drop out. While we think the Bank of England will continue to cut rates in 2025, the pace of rate cuts is expected to be slower than previously anticipated, and rates may stay elevated for longer.”

Treasury Chief Secretary Darren Jones said: “We know that families across Britain are still struggling with the cost of living. That is why the Budget last month focused on fixing the foundation of our economy so we can deliver change.

“But we know there is more to do. That is why the Government is focused on economic growth and investment so we can make every part of the country better off.”